National League North | Gameweek 14
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
0 - 1
Scarborough Ath

FT(HT: 0-0)
Thornton (81')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 3-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Buxton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawScarborough Athletic
37.4% (0.649 0.65)26.66% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)35.93% (-0.612 -0.61)
Both teams to score 52% (0.1 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01% (0.139 0.14)52.99% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (0.12 0.12)74.59% (-0.117 -0.12)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (0.443 0.44)27.45% (-0.441 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06% (0.57100000000001 0.57)62.94% (-0.569 -0.57)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.298 -0.3)28.32% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (-0.378 -0.38)64.05% (0.381 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 37.39%
    Scarborough Athletic 35.94%
    Draw 26.65%
Curzon AshtonDrawScarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.53% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.39%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.94%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm