National League North Gameweek 8
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Haig Avenue
  • Markus Carver 33' goal
  • Niall Watson 35' goal
  • Niall Watson 58' goal
  • goal Frank Mulhern 78'

Southport vs Scarborough Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
Hereford 0 - 1 Southport
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Markus Carver

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
Scarborough Ath 1 - 1 Gloucester City
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Harry Green

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Southport 29.4% (+0.75)
Draw 25.5% (+0.05)
Scarborough Athletic 45.1% (-0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.69% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.11% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 49.89% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 28.12% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 71.88% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 13.39% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 86.61% (-0.12)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5 68.92% (+0.65)
Under 0.5 31.08% (-0.65)
Over 1.5 32.6% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 67.4% (-0.76)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 77.91% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 22.09% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 44.55% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 55.45% (+0.42)

Score analysis

Southport 29.4%
Draw 25.49%
Scarborough Athletic 45.1%
Southport
1-0 @ 8.02% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 7.08% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 4.69% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 2.76% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.08% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 1.83% (+0.09)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.35% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.49%
Scarborough Athletic
0-1 @ 10.36% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 7.83% (-0.20)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.94% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.1%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Flamingo Land Stadium
  • goal Tyler Walton 54'
National League North Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Haig Avenue
  • Josh Hmami 90'+5' goal
  • goal Dom Tear 13'