National League North | Gameweek 8

Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Haig Avenue

Southport
3 - 1
Scarborough Ath

Carver (33'), Watson (35', 58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mulhern (78')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southport

All competitions

Last Game: Hereford 0-1 Southport
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 Gloucester City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Southport	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
29.4% ( 0.74)	25.5% ( 0.05)	45.1% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 53.69% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.11% (

0.19)

49.89% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.12% (

0.17)

71.88% (

-0.18)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

0.65)

31.08% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6% (

0.75)

67.4% (

-0.75)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.91% (

-0.28)

22.09% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.55% (

-0.42)

55.45% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Southport 29.4%

Scarborough Athletic 45.1%

Draw 25.49%

Southport	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.4%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.1%