National League North | Gameweek 3

Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Brewery Field

Spennymoor
5 - 1
Southport

Ramshaw (18', 81'), Taylor (24', 90+3'), Harris (30')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Evans (10' pen.)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spennymoor Town

All competitions

Last Game: Spennymoor 1-4 Tamworth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Southport

All competitions

Last Game: Alfreton 3-1 Southport
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.

Result
Spennymoor Town	Draw	Southport
50.78% ( -3.69)	24.13% ( 0.6)	25.09% ( 3.09)

Both teams to score 54.68% (

1.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53% (

0.51)

47% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76% (

0.47)

69.24% (

-0.46)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.47% (

-1.19)

18.53% (

1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.24% (

-2.06)

49.76% (

2.07)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.11% (

3.03)

32.89% (

-3.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.54% (

3.23)

69.46% (

-3.22)

Score Analysis

Spennymoor Town 50.78%

Southport 25.09%

Draw 24.13%

Spennymoor Town	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.63) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.9) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.72) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.4) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.33% Total : 50.78%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.13%	0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.63) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.51) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.4) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.27) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.46% Total : 25.09%