Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.