National League North | Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground

Tamworth
2 - 0
Scarborough Ath

Finn (20'), Tshikuna (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
Last Game: Tamworth 1-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 17.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Scarborough Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
TamworthDrawScarborough Athletic
60.7% (-0.157 -0.16)22.1%17.21% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.321 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (0.263 0.26)48.04% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (0.241 0.24)70.21% (-0.239 -0.24)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63% (0.037999999999997 0.04)15.37% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.85% (0.067999999999998 0.07)44.16% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.59% (0.356 0.36)41.41% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.08% (0.313 0.31)77.92% (-0.30999999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 60.7%
    Scarborough Athletic 17.21%
    Draw 22.09%
TamworthDrawScarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 11.92% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 11.16% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.97% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 60.7%
1-1 @ 10.5%
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.09%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.47% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 17.21%