National League North | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground

Tamworth
4 - 0
Darlington

Willets (27'), Tshikuna (30'), Milnes (68'), Finn (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
Last Game: Southport 0-0 Tamworth
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North

Darlington

All competitions
Last Game: Darlington 1-1 Gloucester City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 67.01%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 13.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
TamworthDrawDarlington
67.01% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)19.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)13.45% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.93% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)44.28% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.73% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)12.27% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.98% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)38.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.77% (0.051000000000002 0.05)44.23% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04)80.31% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 67%
    Darlington 13.45%
    Draw 19.53%
TamworthDrawDarlington
2-0 @ 11.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 67%
1-1 @ 9.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.97% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 19.53%
0-1 @ 4.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.79% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 13.45%