National League North | Gameweek 9
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground

Tamworth
3 - 0
P'boro Sports

Deacon (2', 5'), Creaney (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and Peterborough Sports.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions
Last Game: Tamworth 2-1 Chorley
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League North

Peterborough Sports

All competitions
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-1 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Peterborough Sports win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
TamworthDrawPeterborough Sports
54.5% (-1.682 -1.68)24.32% (0.564 0.56)21.17% (1.116 1.12)
Both teams to score 49.42% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.33% (-0.918 -0.92)51.67% (0.917 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.55% (-0.804 -0.8)73.45% (0.80200000000001 0.8)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97)18.87% (0.974 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-1.654 -1.65)50.34% (1.653 1.65)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.91% (0.64299999999999 0.64)39.09% (-0.644 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19% (0.598 0.6)75.8% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 54.49%
    Peterborough Sports 21.17%
    Draw 24.32%
TamworthDrawPeterborough Sports
1-0 @ 12.3% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.25% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.336 -0.34)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.164 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 54.49%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 7.38% (0.266 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.366 0.37)
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.215 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.096 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 21.17%