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National League North | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
0 - 1
P'boro Sports

FT(HT: 0-1)
Fowkes (30')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Peterborough Sports.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blyth Spartans 2-1 Hereford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 19.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Peterborough Sports win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawPeterborough Sports
53.52% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 26.85% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 19.62% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 40.68% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.91% (0.016999999999996 0.02)62.09% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.2% (0.012 0.01)81.8% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (0.0020000000000095 0)23.5% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.53% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.17% (0.025999999999996 0.03)46.82% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.64% (0.018999999999998 0.02)82.35% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 53.51%
    Peterborough Sports 19.62%
    Draw 26.85%
Hereford UnitedDrawPeterborough Sports
1-0 @ 15.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 53.51%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 8.35%
1-2 @ 4.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 19.62%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
P'boro Sports
0-2
Hereford
Pendley (35'), Haines (76')
Nov 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Hereford
0-1
P'boro Sports
McCammon (69')
rhs 2.0
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