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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Bolton logo

Oxford Utd
0 - 0
Bolton


Mills (37'), Bodin (45+3')
FT

Thomason (25'), Baxter (45+2')
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Bolton Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
41.05% (-0.217 -0.22)26.21% (0.027000000000001 0.03)32.74% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 52.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.4% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)51.6% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61% (-0.058 -0.06)73.39% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (-0.142 -0.14)24.81% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61% (-0.197 -0.2)59.39% (0.195 0.2)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (0.088999999999999 0.09)29.65% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.31% (0.109 0.11)65.69% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 41.05%
    Bolton Wanderers 32.74%
    Draw 26.2%
Oxford UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.74%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Bolton

Oxford United
28.6%
Draw
21.4%
Bolton Wanderers
50.0%
14
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Oxford Utd
0-1
Bolton
Charles (7')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bolton
1-3
Oxford Utd
Charles (73')
Anderson (25'), Brown (53'), Seddon (79')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Oxford Utd
2-3
Bolton
Bodin (9', 32')
Moore (26'), Kane (70'), Seddon (76')
John (10'), Fossey (38'), Bakayoko (86')
Afolayan (74')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
2-1
Oxford Utd
Afolayan (45'), Doyle (63')
Taylor (11')
Taylor (39'), McGuane (85'), Forde (90+2')
May 3, 2020 12pm