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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 41.05% ( | 26.21% ( | 32.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% ( | 51.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( | 73.39% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( | 24.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.61% ( | 59.39% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( | 29.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.31% ( | 65.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 4-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.74% |