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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 23.94% ( | 25.06% ( | 51% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.15% ( | 51.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( | 73.6% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( | 36.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.68% ( | 73.32% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.66% ( | 20.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.28% ( | 52.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 2-1 @ 6% ( 2-0 @ 3.77% ( 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 3-0 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.94% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0-2 @ 9.42% ( 1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0-3 @ 5% ( 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0-4 @ 1.99% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 50.99% |