EFL Trophy
Nov 7, 2023 7.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Sonny Perkins 15' goal
  • Jordan Thorniley 18' goal
  • Josh Murphy 71' goal
  • Josh Murphy 78' goal
  • Jordan Thorniley 88' yellowcard
  • Mark Harris 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Billy Gee 82'

Oxford United vs Chelsea Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 19, 2023 7.00pm
Oxford Utd 0 - 1 MK Dons

Chelsea Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 26, 2023 7.00pm
Northampton 2 - 2 Chelsea U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Chelsea Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result

Oxford United 62.29% (+4.39)
Draw 19.82% (-1.28)
Chelsea Under-21s 17.89% (-3.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.74% (-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.37% (+1.27)
Under 2.5 36.63% (-1.25)
Over 3.5 41.22% (+1.36)
Under 3.5 58.79% (-1.35)
Over 4.5 23.13% (+1.10)
Under 4.5 76.88% (-1.09)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 88.71% (+1.62)
Under 0.5 11.29% (-1.61)
Over 1.5 64.08% (+3.41)
Under 1.5 35.92% (-3.40)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 66.21% (-2.35)
Under 0.5 33.79% (+2.36)
Over 1.5 29.55% (-2.64)
Under 1.5 70.46% (+2.65)

Score analysis

Oxford United 62.3%
Draw 19.82%
Chelsea Under-21s 17.89%
Oxford United
2-1 @ 9.85% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.08% (+0.58)
1-0 @ 8.32% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.16% (+0.45)
3-0 @ 6.6% (+0.80)
4-1 @ 3.9% (+0.47)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.6% (+0.63)
4-2 @ 2.12% (+0.13)
5-1 @ 1.7% (+0.30)
5-0 @ 1.57% (+0.36)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 62.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.59)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.36)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.82%
Chelsea Under-21s
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.67)
0-1 @ 4.14% (-0.56)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.47)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.27)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.38)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 17.89%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Matt Taylor 10' goal
  • goal Mason Burstow 78'
  • goal Lewis Hall 82'
EFL Trophy
Sep 8, 2020 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Dan Agyei 17' goal
  • Derick Osei 45'+2' goal
  • goal Jon Russell 53'
EFL Trophy
Jan 23, 2018 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Harvey St Clair 10' goal
  • Daishawn Redan 16' goal
  • Juan Castillo 65' goal
  • Ruben Sammut 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardinho 4'
  • yellowcard Ryan Ledson 9'
  • yellowcard Charlie Raglan 37'