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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Oxford United |
| 32.11% | 26.48% ( | 41.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.11% | 52.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.5% | 74.5% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% | 30.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% | 66.96% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( | 25.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.05% ( | 59.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.11% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 7.35% ( 1-3 @ 3.99% 0-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.39% |