League One

League One | Gameweek 19

Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
7 - 0
Exeter

Iredale (34'), Adeboyejo (43'), Maghoma (55'), Charles (63', 74'), Dempsey (86'), N'Lundulu (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jules (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stockport 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Exeter City
58.15% ( -0.49)	21.13% ( 0.17)	20.71% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 59.16% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.58% (

-0.35)

38.41% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.3% (

-0.37)

60.7% (

0.37)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87% (

-0.26)

13% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.48% (

-0.52)

39.52% (

0.52)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68% (

0.1)

31.99% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.54% (

0.11)

68.45% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 58.15%

Exeter City 20.71%

Draw 21.13%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Exeter City
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.73% Total : 58.15%	1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.13%	1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 20.71%