League One Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
7
0
HT : 2 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Jack Iredale 34' goal
  • Victor Adeboyejo 43' goal
  • Paris Maghoma 55' goal
  • Dion Charles 63' goal
  • Dion Charles 74' goal
  • Kyle Dempsey 86' goal
  • Dan N'Lundulu 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Zak Jules 18'

Bolton Wanderers vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
Bolton 1 - 0 Blackpool
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Dion Charles

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
Fleetwood 3 - 0 Exeter
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jack Aitchison

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 20.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 58.15% (-0.49)
Draw 21.13% (+0.18)
Exeter City 20.71% (+0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.16% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.58% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 38.41% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 39.3% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 60.7% (+0.38)
Over 4.5 21.58% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 78.42% (+0.30)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 87% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 13% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 60.48% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 39.52% (+0.53)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 68% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 31.99% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 31.54% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 68.45% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 58.15%
Draw 21.13%
Exeter City 20.71%
Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.87% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.49% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 3% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 58.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.67% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.62% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.16% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.13%
Exeter City
1-2 @ 5.51% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 4.74% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 2.7% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.14% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.09% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.03% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 20.71%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Conor Bradley 27'
League One Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Conor Bradley 8' goal
  • Dion Charles 26' goal
League Two Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Macron Stadium
  • Gethin Jones 15' goal
  • Alex Baptiste 32' yellowcard
  • Jordan Williams 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Key 27'
  • yellowcard Alex Hartridge 29'
  • yellowcard Robbie Willmott 42'
  • goal Randell Williams 49'
  • yellowcard Jake Taylor 79'
  • yellowcard Jack Sparkes 84'
  • goal Pierce Sweeney 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 23
Jan 12, 2021 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Ricardo Santos 62' goal
  • Nigel Atangana 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antoni Sarcevic 53'
  • yellowcard Harry Brockbank 60'
  • goal Arthur Gnahoua 73'