Swindon Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
County Ground
Exeter City

Swindon
0 - 1
Exeter

FT(HT: 0-1)
Wildschut (6')
Diabate (82'), Harper (83')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Swindon Town and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two

Exeter City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawExeter City
44.81% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)22.53% (0.013999999999999 0.01)32.66% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 65.92% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.4% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)34.6% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.45% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)56.54% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)16.05% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.59% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)45.4% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)21.48% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.48% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)54.52% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 44.81%
    Exeter City 32.66%
    Draw 22.53%
Swindon TownDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-0 @ 6.31% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.77% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 44.81%
1-1 @ 9.7% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.45% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 32.66%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Exeter
3-1
Swindon
Brown (17'), Grounds (26'), Jay (81')
Payne (90+3')
Davison (25'), Iandolo (73')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swindon
1-2
Exeter
Tomlinson (58')
Brown (84'), Dieng (88')
Oct 6, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Swindon
3-4
Exeter
Smith (61', 85'), Palmer (90+2')
Grant (43')
Kite (4'), Seymour (7' pen.), Atangana (63'), Hartridge (68')
Sweeney (78')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Swindon
2-1
Exeter
Doyle (20'), Hope (45')
Doughty (63')
Williams (34')
Bowman (36')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Exeter
1-1
Swindon
Jay (72')
Taylor (45')
Doyle (88')
Baudry (39'), Doughty (94')
rhs 2.0


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