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Championship header 2

League Two

MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Swindon Town

MK Dons
3 - 2
Swindon

Dean (39'), O'Hora (66'), McEachran (84' og.)
Grant (27'), Harvie (54'), Eisa (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Young (59'), Blake-Tracy (90+4')
Clayton (29'), Khan (37'), McEachran (53'), Austin (86')
Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 4-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawSwindon Town
41.83% (0.012 0.01)23.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)34.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.15% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.46% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)63.54% (0.0049999999999955 0)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)19.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.05% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.72% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)57.84% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 41.83%
    Swindon Town 34.21%
    Draw 23.95%
MK DonsDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 41.83%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 34.21%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
MK Dons
5-0
Swindon
Grigg (16', 45+2', 46', 49'), Fraser (26' pen.)
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 21
Swindon
1-4
MK Dons
Payne (37')
Hunt (83')
Jerome (4', 40'), Harvie (28'), Poole (77')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 32
MK Dons
2-3
Swindon
Hesketh (60'), Agard (88')
Aneke (37'), Martin (72')
Doughty (34', 73'), Anderson (60')
Vigouroux (93')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Swindon
1-1
MK Dons
Adebayo (90')
Anderson (56')
Walsh (4')
Cargill (43')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Swindon
1-1
MK Dons
Obika (90')
Ince (39'), Colkett (94')
Agard (43' pen.)
Walsh (34'), Lewington (95')