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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
| 34.27% ( | 25.08% ( | 40.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.64% ( | 46.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.36% ( | 68.64% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% ( | 26.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.79% ( | 61.21% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( | 22.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.65% ( | 56.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 2-0 @ 5.34% ( 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 34.27% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0-2 @ 6.52% ( 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.65% |