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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Accrington Stanley

Grimsby Town
0 - 2
Accrington


Waterfall (17')
Waterfall (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Whalley (74'), Andrews (82')
Leigh (51'), Martin (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Grimsby Town 2-2 Accrington Stanley

Both sides have been scoring and conceding relatively freely during the opening period of the campaign, so we expect to see an entertaining encounter play out in Lincolnshire. Neither team should have any concerns about relegation this season, but equally a playoff push could be slightly beyond them, and we can envisage a score draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawAccrington Stanley
44.17% (0.118 0.12) 25.48% (-0.011999999999997 -0.01) 30.35% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (0.009999999999998 0.01)49.35% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)71.4% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (0.059999999999988 0.06)22.3% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24% (0.087999999999994 0.09)55.76% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)30.13% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)66.27% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 44.17%
    Accrington Stanley 30.35%
    Draw 25.47%
Grimsby TownDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.56% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 44.17%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 30.35%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Accrington

Grimsby Town
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Accrington Stanley
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Grimsby Town
0-1
Accrington
Leigh (66' pen.)
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-3
Accrington

Davies (22'), Matt (73')
Kee (56' pen.), McConville (61'), Jackson (77')
Jackson (31'), Brown (37')
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Accrington
1-2
Grimsby Town
Jackson (45')
Hughes (65'), Wilks (90')
Jones (43'), Woolford (47')
Davies (12'), Matt (57'), Dembele (73')
Mar 25, 2017 3pm
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Grimsby Town
2-0
Accrington
Bolarinwa (32'), Chambers (88')
Bogle (50'), Andrew (68')

O'Sullivan (62'), Pearson (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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