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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 44.17% ( | 25.48% ( | 30.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( | 49.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( | 71.4% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( | 22.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% ( | 55.76% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( | 30.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% ( | 66.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.17% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0-3 @ 1.93% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 30.35% |