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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Bradford City |
| 37.47% ( | 26.46% ( | 36.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.85% ( | 52.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.14% ( | 73.86% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( | 27.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.63% ( | 62.37% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.17% ( | 27.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.57% ( | 63.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 1-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.07% |