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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Bradford City

MK Dons
4 - 1
Bradford

Tomlinson (4'), Payne (31'), Dean (59'), Gilbey (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gilliead (17')
Taylor (30'), McDonald (39'), Ridehalgh (52'), Stubbs (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Bradford City

These two sides will still hope to push for a play-off spot this season, with Bradford certainly looking more likely to achieve that based on current form. While MK Dons surely possess too much quality for their winless streak to endure much longer, we can envisage a score draw between these sides on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawBradford City
37.47% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 26.46% (-0.2 -0.2) 36.07% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 52.67% (0.686 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.85% (0.85899999999999 0.86)52.15% (-0.856 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (0.738 0.74)73.86% (-0.733 -0.73)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.354 0.35)27.01% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (0.46 0.46)62.37% (-0.456 -0.46)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.59500000000001 0.6)27.83% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.753 0.75)63.42% (-0.749 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 37.47%
    Bradford City 36.07%
    Draw 26.46%
MK DonsDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.07%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Oct 7, 2017 3pm
MK Dons
1-4
Bradford
Ebanks-Landell (45')
Gilbey (44'), Aneke (84'), Upson (86'), Lewington (87')
Tshibola (5')
Vincelot (11'), Wyke (18', 71'), Taylor (82')
Knight-Percival (69'), Kilgallon (86')
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
Bradford
2-2
MK Dons
McMahon (22' pen.), Wyke (43')
O'Keefe (4'), Williams (35')
Walsh (22'), Williams (69')
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
MK Dons
1-2
Bradford
Upson (94')
Walsh (86'), Upson (96')
Cullen (12'), Clarke (17')
Knight-Percival (63')
Feb 9, 2015 7.45pm
Bradford
2-1
MK Dons
Clarke (56'), Hanson (70')
Morais (37'), Meredith (66'), Clarke (72')
Alli (54')
Kay (35'), Baker (37'), Potter (81'), Powell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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