League Two

League Two | Gameweek 15

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
0 - 1
Gillingham

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mahoney (22')
Clarke (68'), Alexander (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Salford City 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gillingham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 56.16%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Gillingham
56.16% ( -1.91)	21.81% ( 0.38)	22.03% ( 1.52)

Both teams to score 58.77% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.15% (

0.25)

39.84% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.8% (

0.26)

62.2% (

-0.26)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.92% (

-0.51)

14.07% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.32% (

-1)

41.67% (

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4% (

1.56)

31.6% (

-1.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99% (

1.76)

68% (

-1.76)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 56.16%

Gillingham 22.03%

Draw 21.81%

Swindon Town	Draw	Gillingham
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.28% Total : 56.16%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.81%	1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.63% Total : 22.03%