Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two

Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Gillingham

Walsall
4 - 1
Gillingham

Hutchinson (34', 58', 85'), Draper (39')
Tierney (70'), Knowles (72'), McEntee (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bonne (60')
Clark (49'), Bonne (73'), Ogie (90+5')
Millen (0')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Walsall and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Walsall

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Forest Green (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Portsmouth 5-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
WalsallDrawGillingham
39.08% (0.099000000000004 0.1)26.79% (-0.026 -0.03)34.12% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.36% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.28% (0.089999999999996 0.09)53.71% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.8% (0.074999999999999 0.07)75.2% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (0.099000000000004 0.1)26.83% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86% (0.13 0.13)62.13% (-0.131 -0.13)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)29.8% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)65.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 39.08%
    Gillingham 34.12%
    Draw 26.79%
WalsallDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 39.08%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Walsall vs Gillingham

Walsall
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Gillingham
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Walsall
2-0
Gillingham
Hutchinson (50'), Wilkinson (90+5')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Gillingham
0-0
Walsall
Maher (46'), Johnson (80'), Daniels (90+1'), White (90+4')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Gillingham
0-3
Walsall
Cook (9', 19', 47')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Walsall
2-1
Gillingham
Ferrier (12'), Osbourne (42')
Dobson (89')
Eaves (90')
O'Neill (78'), Ehmer (86')
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Gillingham
0-0
Walsall
Wilkinson (86')
Dobson (86')