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Championship header 2

League Two

Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Walsall

Sutton
4 - 0
Walsall

Patrick (6'), Smith (12', 37'), Riley (27' og.)
FT(HT: 4-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Sutton United and Walsall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Walsall

All competitions
Last Game: Walsall 0-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawWalsall
41.55% (0.029000000000003 0.03)26.85% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)31.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.52% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.53% (0.073999999999998 0.07)54.48% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.17% (0.062999999999999 0.06)75.84% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (0.049000000000007 0.05)25.85% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17% (0.066000000000003 0.07)60.83% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (0.033000000000001 0.03)31.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69% (0.039000000000001 0.04)68.31% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 41.55%
    Walsall 31.6%
    Draw 26.84%
Sutton UnitedDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 41.55%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 31.6%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Walsall
1-1
Sutton
Hutchinson (90+5')
Smith (31')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Sutton
1-1
Walsall
Milsom (72' pen.)
Maddox (86')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Walsall
1-0
Sutton
Wilkinson (33' pen.)
Daniels (75')

Milsom (62'), Wyatt (82'), Eastmond (88')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Sutton
0-1
Walsall
Shade (66')
Labadie (43'), Perry (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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