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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Notts County |
| 27.47% | 24.91% | 47.61% |
| Both teams to score 54.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% | 48.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% | 70.66% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% | 31.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% | 68.24% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% | 20.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.13% | 52.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 7.44% 2-1 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.47% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 8.2% ( 1-3 @ 4.97% 0-3 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.61% |