League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Scott Malone 52' goal
  • Scott Malone 52' yellowcard
  • George Lapslie 77' yellowcard
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 38'
  • goal Lewis Macarai 78'
  • yellowcard Jim O'Brien 84'
  • yellowcard Kyle Cameron 90'+6'
  • yellowcard David McGoldrick 90'+6'

Gillingham vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Oct 14, 2023 3.00pm
Walsall 4 - 1 Gillingham
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Conor Masterson

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Oct 14, 2023 12.30pm
Notts County 1 - 4 Mansfield
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Macaulay Langstaff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result

Gillingham 27.47%
Draw 24.91%
Notts County 47.61%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.26%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.46%
Under 2.5 48.53% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 29.34%
Under 3.5 70.66%
Over 4.5 14.21%
Under 4.5 85.78% (-0.01)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 68.18%
Under 0.5 31.81% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.75%
Under 1.5 68.24% (-0.01)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 79.57%
Under 0.5 20.42%
Over 1.5 47.13%
Under 1.5 52.86%

Score analysis

Gillingham 27.47%
Draw 24.91%
Notts County 47.61%
Gillingham
1-0 @ 7.44%
2-1 @ 6.77%
2-0 @ 4.26%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 27.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.5%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.91%
Notts County
0-1 @ 10.32%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 8.2% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.97%
0-3 @ 4.34%
2-3 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.61%

Head to Head

League One
May 3, 2015 12.15pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • John Egan 88' goal
  • John Egan 88' yellowcard
  • Brennan Dickenson 93' goal
  • Luke Norris 95' goal
  • yellowcard Blair Adams 50'
  • goal Graham Burke 61'
  • yellowcard Graham Burke 61'
  • yellowcard Paddy McCourt 92'
League One
Oct 4, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Liam Noble 32' yellowcard
  • Shaun Harrad 35' goal
  • Roy Carroll 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Hessenthaler 32'
  • yellowcard Brennan Dickenson 56'
League One
Dec 7, 2013 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Callum McGregor 40' goal
  • Callum McGregor 54' goal
  • Jack Grealish 87' yellowcard
  • Jack Grealish 89' goal
  • goal Bradley Dack 46'
League One
Oct 22, 2013 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Chris Whelpdale 24' goal
  • Danny Kedwell 29' goal
  • Danny Hollands 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuele Smith 72'
  • goal Callum McGregor 79'
League Two
Mar 17, 2009 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Simeon Jackson 58'
  • yellowcard Barry Fuller 71'
League Two
Oct 21, 2008 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gary Mulligan 39' goal
  • Nicky Southall 63' goal
  • goal Richard Butcher 65'
  • goal Delroy Facey 79'