League Two

League Two | Gameweek 1

Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester
3 - 1
Swindon

Kinsella (49' og.), Tovide (64'), Chilvers (90+3')
Tovide (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Young (23')
Kemp (31'), Kinsella (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Colchester
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 4-7 Aldershot
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Colchester United	Draw	Swindon Town
37.42% ( 1.23)	24.07% ( -0.08)	38.5% ( -1.15)

Both teams to score 61.19% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.78% (

0.5)

41.22% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.38% (

0.51)

63.61% (

-0.51)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

0.86)

22.04% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.63% (

1.29)

55.37% (

-1.29)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49% (

-0.34)

21.5% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.45% (

-0.52)

54.55% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Colchester United 37.42%

Swindon Town 38.5%

Draw 24.07%

Colchester United	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.51% Total : 37.42%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07%	1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.5%