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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 43.86% ( | 25.45% ( | 30.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.9% ( | 49.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( | 71.17% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( | 22.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( | 55.81% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( | 29.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.16% ( | 65.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.86% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0-3 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.69% |