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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Colchester United |
| 41.63% ( | 24.93% ( | 33.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.14% ( | 45.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.82% ( | 68.18% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( | 22.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.68% ( | 55.32% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( | 26.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( | 61.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Colchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 2-0 @ 6.66% ( 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.63% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 1-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.44% |