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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Swindon Town

Harrogate
1 - 1
Swindon

Muldoon (65')
Dooley (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (25')
Kinsella (27'), Kokolo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.72%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town
23.45% (-1.768 -1.77)21.53% (-0.786 -0.79)55.02% (2.553 2.55)
Both teams to score 61.77% (0.72900000000001 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.23% (1.876 1.88)36.77% (-1.878 -1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.07% (2.01 2.01)58.93% (-2.012 -2.01)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (-0.366 -0.37)28.67% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (-0.459 -0.46)64.49% (0.45700000000001 0.46)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (1.456 1.46)13.4% (-1.459 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.67% (2.85 2.85)40.33% (-2.852 -2.85)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 23.45%
    Swindon Town 55.02%
    Draw 21.53%
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 6.03% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-0 @ 4.8% (-0.509 -0.51)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.25% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 23.45%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.464 -0.46)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.364 -0.36)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.76% (0.116 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.296 -0.3)
1-3 @ 6.5% (0.363 0.36)
0-3 @ 5.2% (0.34 0.34)
2-3 @ 4.06% (0.187 0.19)
1-4 @ 3.27% (0.341 0.34)
0-4 @ 2.61% (0.296 0.3)
2-4 @ 2.04% (0.194 0.19)
1-5 @ 1.31% (0.198 0.2)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 55.02%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Swindon

Harrogate Town
16.7%
Draw
66.7%
Swindon Town
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Swindon
3-0
Harrogate
Hepburn-Murphy (8', 40'), Tomlinson (78')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Harrogate
3-0
Swindon
Pattison (43'), Daly (51'), Muldoon (76')
Burrell (10'), Dooley (28'), Austerfield (61')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Harrogate
1-4
Swindon
Armstrong (90+4')
Austerfield (90+1')
Barry (24', 30'), Davison (51', 63')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
1-1
Harrogate
Payne (83' pen.)
Odimayo (90+6'), Iandolo (90+6')
Diamond (24')
Falkingham (66'), Page (75'), Hall (90+7')