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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.72%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 23.45% ( | 21.53% ( | 55.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.23% ( | 36.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.07% ( | 58.93% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( | 28.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.51% ( | 64.49% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.6% ( | 13.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.67% ( | 40.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 6.03% ( 1-0 @ 4.8% ( 2-0 @ 3% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 3-0 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 23.45% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 1-3 @ 6.5% ( 0-3 @ 5.2% ( 2-3 @ 4.06% ( 1-4 @ 3.27% ( 0-4 @ 2.61% ( 2-4 @ 2.04% ( 1-5 @ 1.31% ( 0-5 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 3.81% Total : 55.02% |