League Two

League Two | Gameweek 16

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
0 - 1
Crewe

Sutton (45'), McDonald (90+6'), Folarin (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Williams (31')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Harrogate 1-4 Mansfield
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crewe 0-2 Stockport
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
27.21% ( -0.08)	22.57% ( 0.01)	50.22% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 62.09% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.89% (

-0.09)

38.11% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.62% (

-0.1)

60.38% (

0.1)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.42% (

-0.1)

26.58% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.2% (

-0.13)

61.8% (

0.14)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.57% (

-0.01)

15.43% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.74% (

-0.02)

44.26% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 27.21%

Crewe Alexandra 50.22%

Draw 22.56%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.21%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.56%	1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.76% 0-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.22%