League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT CNG Stadium
  • Levi Sutton 45' yellowcard
  • Sam Folarin 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Rod McDonald 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Zac Williams 31'

Harrogate Town vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Harrogate 1 - 4 Mansfield
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
George Thomson

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Crewe 0 - 2 Stockport
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Elliott Nevitt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result

Harrogate Town 27.21% (-0.08)
Draw 22.57% (+0.01)
Crewe Alexandra 50.22% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.09% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.89% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 38.11% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 39.62% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 60.38% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 21.84% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 78.16% (+0.09)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 73.42% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 26.58% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 38.2% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 61.8% (+0.14)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 84.57% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 15.43% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 55.74% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 44.26% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Harrogate Town 27.21%
Draw 22.56%
Crewe Alexandra 50.22%
Harrogate Town
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.6% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 27.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.1% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.56%
Crewe Alexandra
1-2 @ 9.49% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.66% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.16% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.91% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.46% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.92% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.76%
0-4 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 50.22%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • Jack Muldoon 34' goal
  • Kazeem Olaigbe 52' goal
  • goal Dan Agyei 83'
  • goal Tariq Uwakwe 89'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Dan Agyei 44' goal
  • Kelvin Mellor 45'+3' goal
  • Bassala Sambou 65' yellowcard
  • Courtney Baker-Richardson 77' goal
  • Tariq Uwakwe 81' yellowcard