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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Crawley
2 - 4
Crewe

Lolas (15'), Darcy (28')
Conroy (2'), Wright (45+3'), Lolas (66'), Williams (90+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tracey (20'), Conroy (56' og.), Baker-Richardson (75'), Nevitt (90+4')
Baker-Richardson (54'), Nevitt (90+6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
48.95% (0.009999999999998 0.01)22.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)28.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.61% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.92% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)39.08% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.4% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)16.23% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.25% (0.009999999999998 0.01)45.74% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55%26.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38%61.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 48.95%
    Crewe Alexandra 28.13%
    Draw 22.92%
Crawley TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 9.44%
1-0 @ 7.81%
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.73%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 48.95%
1-1 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 6.28%
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.02%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 28.13%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Crawley
2-2
Crewe
Offord (19' og.), Gladwin (90+7')
Agyei (51', 61')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Crewe
2-1
Crawley
Porter (72' pen., 90')
Offord (83'), Ainley (90')
Ferguson (84' pen.)
Francomb (51'), Bulman (67'), Grego-Cox (68')
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Crawley
1-2
Crewe
Lubula (16')
Lubula (51')
Wintle (29'), Green (55')
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Crewe
6-1
Crawley
Bowery (36'), Dallison (38' og.), Porter (42'), Green (43'), Kirk (47'), Dale (83')
Hunt (79')
Palmer (13' pen.)
Meite (80')