FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Marine Travel Arena
Harrogate Town

Marine AFC
1 - 5
Harrogate

Doyle (26')
Woodthorpe (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Odoh (5'), Folarin (28', 53'), McDonald (71'), Dooley (89')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Marine AFC and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Marine AFC 3-2 Atherton
Tuesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Marine AFC had a probability of 14.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Marine AFC win it was 2-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Marine AFCDrawHarrogate Town
14.76%18.63%66.61%
Both teams to score 55.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.87%37.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.67%59.34%
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15%37.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38%74.63%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.67%10.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.22%33.79%
Score Analysis
    Marine AFC 14.76%
    Harrogate Town 66.6%
    Draw 18.63%
Marine AFCDrawHarrogate Town
2-1 @ 4.19%
1-0 @ 3.8%
2-0 @ 1.85%
3-2 @ 1.54%
3-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 14.76%
1-1 @ 8.63%
2-2 @ 4.75%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.63%
0-2 @ 10.07%
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-1 @ 8.88%
0-3 @ 7.62%
1-3 @ 7.41%
0-4 @ 4.33%
1-4 @ 4.2%
2-3 @ 3.6%
2-4 @ 2.04%
0-5 @ 1.96%
1-5 @ 1.91%
2-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 66.6%