EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Nov 14, 2023 at 7pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 0
Harrogate

Gibson (3', 79')
Garner (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Carlisle United and Harrogate Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Harrogate Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Harrogate
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Harrogate Town
46.3% ( 0.01)	26.02% ( -0)	27.68% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.96% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.07% (

0.01)

52.93% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.47% (

0.01)

74.53% (

-0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.17% (

0.01)

22.83% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.45% (

0.01)

56.55% (

-0.02)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.03%

33.96% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.36%

70.64% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 46.3%

Harrogate Town 27.68%

Draw 26.01%

Carlisle United	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.3%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.68%