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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fharlog.png)
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Jordan Gibson
3'
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Joe Garner
42'
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Jordan Gibson
79'
Carlisle United vs Harrogate Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result
Carlisle United
46.3%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
26.02%
▼
(-0.01)
Harrogate Town
27.68%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
50.96%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.07%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
52.93%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
25.47%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
74.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
11.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
88.34%
▼
(-0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5
77.17%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
22.83%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
43.45%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
56.55%
▼
(-0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5
66.03%
Under 0.5
33.96%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
29.36%
Under 1.5
70.64%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Carlisle United
46.3%
Draw
26.01%
Harrogate Town
27.68%
Carlisle United
1-0
@
11.45%
2-1 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.3%
2-1 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.3%
Draw
1-1
@
12.36%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.01%
0-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.01%
Harrogate Town
0-1
@
8.37%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.68%
1-2 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.68%