FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brisbane Road

Leyton Orient
3 - 1
Carlisle

Pigott (11' pen.), Drinan (65'), Sotiriou (90+1')
Cooper (8'), Forde (14'), El Mizouni (60'), Happe (70'), Sweeney (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Garner (50')
Robinson (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Leyton Orient and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton Orient	Draw	Carlisle United
48.65%	25.14%	26.2%

Both teams to score 52.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.63%

50.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.69%

72.31%

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28%

20.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.66%

53.34%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.21%

33.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.55%

70.45%

Score Analysis

Leyton Orient 48.65%

Carlisle United 26.2%

Draw 25.14%

Leyton Orient	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.6% Total : 48.65%	1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 7.6% 1-2 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.2%