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Championship header 2

League One

Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Bristol Rovers

Carlisle
0 - 1
Bristol Rovers


Barclay (5'), Garner (14'), Moxon (90+5'), Gibson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavelle (38' og.)
Woods (14'), Friend (45+2'), Collins (51')
Crama (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
38.31% (-0.552 -0.55)25.76% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)35.93% (0.64100000000001 0.64)
Both teams to score 55.02% (0.36 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85% (0.434 0.43)49.15% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78% (0.39 0.39)71.21% (-0.389 -0.39)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.101 -0.1)25.15% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (-0.139 -0.14)59.86% (0.141 0.14)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (0.58200000000001 0.58)26.49% (-0.58 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (0.764 0.76)61.68% (-0.763 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 38.31%
    Bristol Rovers 35.93%
    Draw 25.75%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.66% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.11% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.102 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.063 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.93%

Head to Head
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Carlisle
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Dennis (72')
Armer (65'), Dickenson (90+6'), Dennis (90+6'), Patrick (90+7')

Taylor (90+6'), Saunders (90+8')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Carlisle
Evans (35'), Nicholson (86'), Saunders (90+4')
Harries (23'), Saunders (76'), Thomas (88'), Whelan (90')

Feeney (16'), Devine (26'), Alessandra (38'), Armer (60'), Guy (61'), Mellish (74')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Bristol Rovers
Stacey (11'), Wyke (49'), Kennedy (85')
Miller (74'), Ibehre (90'), Ellis (90')
Bodin (27'), Taylor (57')
Parkes (51'), Lines (72')
Nov 14, 2015 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-0
Carlisle
Taylor (66', 87')
Sinclair (9'), Brown (52'), McChrystal (55'), Parkes (93')
Jan 15, 2011 3pm
Carlisle
4-0
Bristol Rovers
Cooper (73'), Berrett (44' pen., 82' pen.), Curran (57')
Thirlwell (41')

Sawyer (7')
Coles (51')