Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.