League One Gameweek 7
Nov 7, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Charlie Savage 24' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 40' goal
  • Sam Hutchinson 49' yellowcard
  • Michael Craig 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrew Mangan 25'
  • goal Chris Martin 57'
  • yellowcard Sam Finley 82'

Reading vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
Reading 2 - 3 Portsmouth
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Sam Smith

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 2 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Chris Martin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Reading 42.12% (+2.37)
Draw 24.4% (-0.37)
Bristol Rovers 33.47% (-2.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.27% (+0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.56% (+1.27)
Under 2.5 43.43% (-1.28)
Over 3.5 34.17% (+1.24)
Under 3.5 65.83% (-1.24)
Over 4.5 17.65% (+0.91)
Under 4.5 82.35% (-0.91)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 79.25% (+1.68)
Under 0.5 20.74% (-1.68)
Over 1.5 46.63% (+2.57)
Under 1.5 53.37% (-2.57)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 74.78% (-0.57)
Under 0.5 25.22% (+0.56)
Over 1.5 40.04% (-0.78)
Under 1.5 59.96% (+0.78)

Score analysis

Reading 42.12%
Draw 24.4%
Bristol Rovers 33.47%
Reading
2-1 @ 8.92% (+0.27)
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.47% (+0.30)
3-1 @ 4.68% (+0.37)
3-0 @ 3.39% (+0.32)
3-2 @ 3.22% (+0.21)
4-1 @ 1.84% (+0.23)
4-0 @ 1.33% (+0.19)
4-2 @ 1.27% (+0.14)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 42.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 6.14% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.30)
3-3 @ 1.48% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.4%
Bristol Rovers
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.30)
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.54)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.46)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.20)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.25)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 33.47%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 21, 2015 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Dominic Samuel 39'
  • goal Nick Blackman 65'