FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

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Reading
3 - 2
MK Dons

Ehibhaimha (3'), Knibbs (64'), Wing (68')
Elliott (28'), Hutchinson (49'), Knibbs (77'), (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gilbey (39'), Dean (90+3')
Dean (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Reading and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 2-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	MK Dons
40.05%	24.23%	35.71%

Both teams to score 60.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.84%

42.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.43%

64.56%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.84%

21.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.97%

54.02%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.64%

23.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.67%

57.33%

Score Analysis

Reading 40.05%

MK Dons 35.71%

Draw 24.23%

Reading	Draw	MK Dons
2-1 @ 8.67% 1-0 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.05%	1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.23%	1-2 @ 8.12% 0-1 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.71%