League One Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Lewis Wing 23' goal
  • Charlie Savage 27' goal
  • Lewis Wing 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Nesta Guinness-Walker 52' yellowcard
  • Harlee Dean 82' yellowcard
  • Ben Elliott 90' yellowcard
  • Amadou Mbengue 90'+9' redcard
  • goal Tino Anjorin 33'
  • yellowcard John Mousinho 46'
  • goal Colby Bishop 45'+9'
  • goal Terry Devlin 58'
  • yellowcard Alex Robertson 60'
  • yellowcard Christian Saydee 89'

Reading vs Portsmouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 8.00pm
Reading 1 - 2 Fleetwood
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Sam Smith

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Cambridge 0 - 0 Portsmouth
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Colby Bishop

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result

Reading 29.52% (+0.01)
Draw 25.4% (-0.03)
Portsmouth 45.08% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.09% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.6% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 49.4% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 28.55% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 71.44% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.68% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 86.31% (-0.07)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 69.26% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 30.74% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 33% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 67% (-0.07)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5 78.1% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 21.9% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 44.84% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 55.16% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Reading 29.52%
Draw 25.4%
Portsmouth 45.07%
Reading
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.11% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.68% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 29.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.4% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.4%
Portsmouth
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.16% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.76% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.64% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.93% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.07%

Head to Head

League Cup
Aug 25, 2015 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Conor Chaplin 40' goal
  • yellowcard Hal Robson-Kanu 45'
  • goal Nick Blackman 64'
  • yellowcard Oliver Norwood 74'
  • goal Garath McCleary 84'
Championship
Mar 6, 2012 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Noel Hunt 24' goal
Championship
Aug 16, 2011 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hayden Mullins 20' yellowcard
  • Dave Kitson 51' goal
  • Joel Ward 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noel Hunt 58'
  • yellowcard Alex Pearce 85'
Championship
Apr 2, 2011 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Shane Long 30' goal
  • Shane Long 37' goal
  • Jobi McAnuff 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ritchie De Laet 8'
  • yellowcard Hayden Mullins 27'
  • redcard Ricardo Rocha 36'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Hogg 90'
Championship
Aug 14, 2010 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nadir Ciftci 8' goal
  • goal Jimmy Kebe 87'
Premier League
Jan 1, 2008 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ibu Sonko 3' redcard
  • Graeme Murty 23' yellowcard
  • Kalifa Cisse 63' yellowcard
  • Andre Bikey-Amougou 81' yellowcard
  • goal Sol Campbell 9'
  • yellowcard Richard Hughes 58'
  • goal John Utaka 66'