League Two

League Two | Gameweek 17

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
2 - 4
Stockport

Kemp (31'), Young (61')
Mahoney (51'), Khan (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Collar (52' pen.), Wootton (69'), Bailey (72'), Camps (89')
Sarcevic (17'), Wootton (45+5')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stockport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Colchester 3-1 Swindon
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stockport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Stockport 5-1 Worksop
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 38.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Stockport County
38.11% ( -0)	23.5% ( -0)	38.39% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.4% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.63% (

0.02)

38.36% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.35% (

0.02)

60.65% (

-0.02)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

0.01)

20.44% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.11% (

0.01)

52.89% (

-0.02)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69% (

0.01)

20.3% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.32% (

0.02)

52.67% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 38.11%

Stockport County 38.39%

Draw 23.5%

Swindon Town	Draw	Stockport County
2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3% Total : 38.11%	1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 8.37% 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.04% Total : 38.39%