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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Stockport County

Swindon
2 - 4
Stockport

Kemp (31'), Young (61')
Mahoney (51'), Khan (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collar (52' pen.), Wootton (69'), Bailey (72'), Camps (89')
Sarcevic (17'), Wootton (45+5')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stockport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 3-1 Swindon
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 38.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
38.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 38.39% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.4% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.63% (0.022000000000006 0.02)38.36% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.35% (0.022999999999996 0.02)60.65% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.007000000000005 0.01)20.44% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (0.014999999999993 0.01)52.89% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (0.012 0.01)20.3% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.67% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 38.11%
    Stockport County 38.39%
    Draw 23.5%
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3%
Total : 38.11%
1-1 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.8%
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 38.39%

How you voted: Swindon vs Stockport

Swindon Town
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Stockport County
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Stockport
4-0
Swindon
Sarcevic (11', 29'), Wright (16'), Rydel (58')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stockport
1-1
Swindon
Sarcevic (84')
Brown (52'), Jennings (66')
Madden (80')
Blake-Tracy (49')
Blake-Tracy (50'), Reed (70')
Feb 23, 2010 3pm
Swindon
4-1
Stockport
Ferry (74'), Ward (4'), Paynter (45', 79')
Morrison (66')
Tansey (45')
Jan 19, 2010 3pm
Stockport
0-1
Swindon

Pilkington (72'), Swailes (90'), Rose (90')
Paynter (73' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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