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Championship header 2

League One

Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
Oxford United

Leyton Orient
2 - 3
Oxford Utd

Stevens (48' og.), Sotiriou (64')
Wellens (60'), Brown (67'), Pratley (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rodrigues (32', 46'), Bodin (45+2')
Harris (59'), Moore (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leyton Orient

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Chelsea U21s
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawOxford United
39.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)34.61% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (0.0019999999999953 0)48.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)70.81% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83%24.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.5% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)62.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 39.77%
    Oxford United 34.61%
    Draw 25.62%
Leyton OrientDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.11%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 39.77%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.54%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.55%
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.61%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
5-0
Leyton Orient
Mousinho (4'), Brannagan (45+3'), Joseph (57'), Findlay (66'), Taylor (84')

Sotiriou (70')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Oxford Utd
0-1
Leyton Orient
McAnuff (74')
Baudry (93')
Oct 17, 2015 3pm
Leyton Orient
2-2
Oxford Utd
Simpson (64'), Kashket (91')
Cox (23')
Roofe (16'), Lundstram (33')
Graham (55'), Slocombe (69'), Taylor (76'), Sercombe (95')
Graham (67')
May 6, 2006 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-3
Leyton Orient
Willmott (66'), Sabin (14')
Dempster (33')
Willmott (85')
Easton (17'), Alexander (64'), Steele (90')
Mackie (86'), Zakuani (88')
Oct 29, 2005 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-0
Oxford Utd
Easton (45')
Ibehre (89')

Mansell (25'), Bradbury (90')