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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Oxford United

Cheltenham
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Street (34'), Goodwin (76')
Williams (48'), Bevan (72'), Pett (86'), Southwood (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thorniley (32'), Rodrigues (55'), Brannagan (72')
Rodrigues (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawOxford United
21.23% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)23.06% (0.0010000000000012 0)55.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.38% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)46.44% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (-0.029 -0.03)68.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.93% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)36.07% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.15% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)72.85% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)16.5% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.76% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)46.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 21.23%
    Oxford United 55.7%
    Draw 23.06%
Cheltenham TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.58% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 21.23%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.92%
0-3 @ 5.8% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.96%
0-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 55.7%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Oxford Utd

Cheltenham Town
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
Oxford United
90.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Oxford Utd
4-0
Cheltenham
Goodrham (38'), Joseph (52'), Browne (60', 65')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cheltenham
1-2
Oxford Utd
Perry (63')
Chapman (43'), Taylor (84'), Ferry (90'), Lloyd (90+3'), Norton (90+4')
Chapman (90+3')
Brannagan (66', 86')
Joseph (61'), Bodin (70'), Taylor (90'), Brannagan (90+4')
Bodin (74')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Oxford Utd
1-1
Cheltenham
Sykes (82')
Sykes (32')
Wright (48')
Thomas (45'), Blair (58'), Freestone (71'), Evans (72'), Raglan (77')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Cheltenham
1-0
Oxford Utd
May (68')
Thomas (65'), Blair (88')

Long (90+4')
Jan 8, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Cheltenham
1-1
Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd win 4-1 on penalties
Dawson (64')
Varney (39'), Alcock (50'), Addai (90')
Brannagan (45')
Brannagan (36')