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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 21.23% ( | 23.06% ( | 55.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( | 46.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( | 68.72% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.93% ( | 36.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.15% ( | 72.85% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( | 16.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.76% ( | 46.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 2-1 @ 5.58% ( 2-0 @ 3.1% ( 3-1 @ 1.9% ( 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 3-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 21.23% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-2 @ 9.66% ( 1-3 @ 5.92% 0-3 @ 5.8% ( 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 1-4 @ 2.66% ( 0-4 @ 2.61% ( 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 1-5 @ 0.96% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.2% Total : 55.7% |