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Oxford United
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Grimsby Town
Oxford Utd
2 - 0
Grimsby Town
McGuane (11'), Bodin (75')
Rodrigues (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hunt (62')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Oxford United and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Bolton
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Oxford United 3-1 Grimsby Town

Oxford are overwhelming favourites to advance from Saturday's encounter, and we expect the U's to live up to that tag by claiming a relatively comfortable victory over a Grimsby side that has failed to win a single away game this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
54.55% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 22.88% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 22.57% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.86% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)44.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)66.42% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)16.05% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.58% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)45.42% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (0.063999999999993 0.06)33.46% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (0.07 0.07)70.09% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 54.55%
    Grimsby Town 22.57%
    Draw 22.87%
Oxford UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.55%
1-1 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 22.57%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Grimsby Town

Oxford United
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Grimsby Town
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2014 3pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
1-3
Oxford Utd
Pearson (80')
John-Lewis (53'), Nsiala (68'), Neilson (84')
Roberts (35', 42'), Rose (51')
Nov 26, 2005 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-3
Grimsby Town
Fitzgerald (51'), Basham (90' pen.)
Hackett (58')
Bolland (61'), Cohen (89'), Parkinson (3')
Aug 6, 2005 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Oxford Utd
Crane (62')
Newey (87')
Hargreaves (88')
Ashton (39'), Bradbury (54')
Mar 5, 2005 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Grimsby Town
Cominelli (34')
Mackay (20'), Cominelli (63')
Harrold (46'), Parkinson (71')
Coldicott (67'), Bull (84')
Dec 17, 2004 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Oxford Utd
Cramb (18')
Mansaram (64')
Mooney (52')
Quinn (57'), Bradbury (67')
rhs 2.0
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