FA Cup
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Marcus McGuane 11' goal
  • Ruben Rodrigues 29' yellowcard
  • Billy Bodin 75' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Hunt 62'

Oxford United vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 22.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result

Oxford United 54.55% (-0.09)
Draw 22.88% (+0.02)
Grimsby Town 22.57% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.86% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.96% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 44.04% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 33.58% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.42% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 17.22% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.78% (-0.01)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 83.95% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 16.05% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 54.58% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 45.42% (+0.05)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.54% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 33.46% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 29.91% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 70.09% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Oxford United 54.55%
Draw 22.87%
Grimsby Town 22.57%
Oxford United
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 54.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.87%
Grimsby Town
1-2 @ 5.89% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.88% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.22% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 22.57%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Nov 8, 2014 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Lenell John-Lewis 53' yellowcard
  • Aristote Nsiala 68' yellowcard
  • Shaun Pearson 80' goal
  • Scott Neilson 84' yellowcard
  • goal James Roberts 35'
  • goal James Roberts 42'
  • goal Danny Rose 51'
League Two
Nov 26, 2005 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Scott Fitzgerald 51' goal
  • Chris Hackett 58' redcard
  • Steve Basham 90' goal
  • goal Andy Parkinson 3'
  • goal Paul Bolland 61'
  • goal Gary Cohen 89'
League Two
Aug 6, 2005 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tony Crane 62' goal
  • Tom Newey 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Ashton 39'
  • yellowcard Lee Bradbury 54'
  • goal Chris Hargreaves 88'
League Two
Mar 5, 2005 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • David Mackay 20' yellowcard
  • Lucas Cominelli 34' goal
  • Lucas Cominelli 63' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Harrold 46'
  • yellowcard Stacy Coldicott 67'
  • goal Andy Parkinson 71'
  • yellowcard Ronnie Bull 84'
League Two
Dec 17, 2004 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Colin Cramb 18' goal
  • Darren Mansaram 64' yellowcard
  • goal Tommy Mooney 52'
  • yellowcard Barry Quinn 57'
  • yellowcard Lee Bradbury 67'