FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Replays

Nov 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
7 - 2
Slough

Pyke (7', 45'), Rose (16'), Gnahoua (65', 85'), Hunt (81'), Andrews (86')
Gnahoua (32'), Amos (54'), Pyke (60')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Dyce (20'), Ogbonna (34')
Dyce (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Grimsby Town and Slough Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-2 Morecambe
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Slough Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Welling United 4-3 Slough
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 69.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Slough Town had a probability of 13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Slough Town win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Slough Town
69.27% ( 0.01)	17.73% ( 0)	13% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.01% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.04% (

-0.03)

36.96% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.85% (

-0.03)

59.14% (

0.04)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.36% (

-0)

9.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.81% (

-0.02)

32.19% (

0.02)

Slough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.77% (

-0.03)

40.23% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

-0.03)

76.86% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 69.27%

Slough Town 13%

Draw 17.73%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Slough Town
2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.26% 5-1 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 4.17% Total : 69.27%	1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.73%	1-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 13%