National League South | Gameweek 18
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
4 - 3
Slough

Abrahams (12' pen.), Adom (23'), Green (58'), Curran (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dyce (38'), Eweka (50'), Goddard (60')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Slough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Welling United
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Slough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Slough 4-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Welling United would win this match.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawSlough Town
41.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)25.38% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)33.54% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (0.039999999999999 0.04)47.84% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (0.038 0.04)70.02% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (0.029000000000011 0.03)23.13% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (0.039999999999999 0.04)56.99% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Slough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (0.012999999999991 0.01)27.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.26% (0.014000000000003 0.01)62.74% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 41.09%
    Slough Town 33.54%
    Draw 25.38%
Welling UnitedDrawSlough Town
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 41.09%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.54%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Slough
0-3
Welling United
Alexander (4', 34', 37')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Welling United
0-0
Slough
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Slough
2-1
Welling United
Kayani (32'), Kuhl (42' pen.)
Akinyemi (28' pen.)
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Welling United
2-2
Slough
Stevenson (45+2'), Allen (54')
Kuhl (6'), Bird (88')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
Welling United
P-P
Slough