National League South Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT Plainmoor Ground
  • Aaron Jarvis 35' goal
  • Brett McGavin 40' goal
  • Shaun Donnellan 59' goal
  • Aaron Jarvis 65' goal
  • Ross Marshall 76' goal
  • goal Kain Adom 18'
  • redcard James Holden 74'

Torquay United vs Welling United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Torquay Utd 0 - 1 Maidstone
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Bradley Ash

Welling United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Welling United 2 - 2 Farnborough
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Tristan Abrahams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result

Torquay United 51.9% (+0.01)
Draw 23.6% (-0.01)
Welling United 24.49% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.77% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.75% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 45.24% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 32.41% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 67.59% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 16.37% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.63% (-0.02)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5 82.56% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.44% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 52.1% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 47.9% (-0.03)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5 67.56% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.44% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.03% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.96% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Torquay United 51.9%
Draw 23.6%
Welling United 24.49%
Torquay United
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.65% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 51.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.6%
Welling United
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 24.49%

Head to Head

National League
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Durrell Berry 47' yellowcard
  • Shaun Harrad 55' yellowcard
  • Nathan Smith 60' goal
  • Iffy Allen 70' goal
  • Danny Racchi 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ade Yussuf 45'
  • yellowcard Noah Chesmain 74'
  • yellowcard Sahr Kabba 84'
National League
Sep 12, 2015 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Xavier Vidal 9' goal
  • Ben Jefford 74' yellowcard
  • Tashan Adeyinka 94' yellowcard
  • goal Dan Butler 20'
  • redcard Fabian Speiss 29'
  • yellowcard James Hurst 54'
Conference Premier
Dec 28, 2014 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jake Gallagher 26' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Durrell Berry 23'
Conference Premier
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ryan Bowman 15' goal
  • Courtney Cameron 43' goal
  • Toby Ajala 67' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Bush 49'