Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.