Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.