Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.