National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Paddy Power Park
  • Alfie Pavey 25' goal
  • Connor Cullen 76' goal
  • goal Arjanit Krasniqi 45'

Farnborough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
Farnborough 1 - 1 Eastbourne
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Oli Pendlebury

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
Welling United 0 - 1 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
George Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result

Farnborough Town 52.83% (+0.03)
Draw 24.75% (-0.11)
Hemel Hempstead Town 22.42% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.77% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.99% (+0.48)
Under 2.5 52.01% (-0.49)
Over 3.5 26.25% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 73.75% (-0.42)
Over 4.5 12.16% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 87.84% (-0.27)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 80.34% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 19.65% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 48.37% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 51.63% (-0.33)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 61.95% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 38.05% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 25.18% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 74.81% (-0.34)

Score analysis

Farnborough Town 52.83%
Draw 24.74%
Hemel Hempstead Town 22.42%
Farnborough Town
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 9.9% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.56% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.19% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.11% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-98.39)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 52.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 4.62% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.74%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 5.68% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.13% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 22.42%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Paddy Power Park
  • Freddie Grant 51' goal
  • goal Kaylen Hinds 12'
  • goal Bayley Brown 22'
National League South Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vauxhall Road (Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire)
  • Jordan Greenidge 25' goal