National League South Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Adam Mills 45' goal

Chelmsford City vs Farnborough Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
May 2, 2023 7.30pm
Chelmsford City 0 - 1 St Albans City
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Charlie Ruff

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
St Albans City 2 - 0 Farnborough
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Oli Pendlebury

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Chelmsford City 31.66% (-0.01)
Draw 26.79% (+0.12)
Farnborough Town 41.55% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.71% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.76% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 54.24% (+0.45)
Over 3.5 24.36% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 75.64% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 10.96% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 89.04% (+0.24)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 68.3% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 31.7% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 31.88% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 68.12% (+0.27)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.25% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 25.75% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 39.32% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 60.68% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 31.66%
Draw 26.79%
Farnborough Town 41.54%
Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 9.38% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.39% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.16% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.79%
Farnborough Town
0-1 @ 11.07% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.51% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 41.54%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Hawthorns
  • Dave Winfield 42' goal
  • Michael Folivi 54' goal
  • Michael Folivi 89' goal
  • goal Mason Bloomfield 9'
  • goal Mason Bloomfield 52'
National League South Gameweek 11
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Paddy Power Park
  • goal Harry Lodovica 84'