Oxford City

3 - 1

Chelmsford City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.