National League South | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
Marsh Lane

Oxford City
1 - 1
Chelmsford City

Owusu (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Morgan (90+1')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Chelmsford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 16.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Oxford CityDrawChelmsford City
64.45%18.74%16.8%
Both teams to score 60.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.63%33.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.85%55.15%
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.19%9.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.42%32.57%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02%32.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44%69.55%
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 64.45%
    Chelmsford City 16.8%
    Draw 18.74%
Oxford CityDrawChelmsford City
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 8.72%
1-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 7.49%
3-0 @ 6.75%
4-1 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 4.15%
4-0 @ 3.92%
4-2 @ 2.41%
5-1 @ 2.02%
5-0 @ 1.82%
5-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 64.45%
1-1 @ 8.33%
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 3.23%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 18.74%
1-2 @ 4.62%
0-1 @ 3.59%
0-2 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.99%
1-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 16.8%