Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.