National League South | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Stadium

Chelmsford City
2 - 2
Dorking

Jackson (11'), Sheringham (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (45+4' pen.), Prior (47')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Dorking Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawDorking Wanderers
24.31%23.37%52.33%
Both teams to score 56.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.62%44.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.25%66.76%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.87%32.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.39%68.61%
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04%16.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.94%47.06%
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 24.31%
    Dorking Wanderers 52.33%
    Draw 23.37%
Chelmsford CityDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 6.23%
1-0 @ 6.19%
2-0 @ 3.51%
3-1 @ 2.36%
3-2 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 24.31%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.53%
0-0 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-1 @ 9.67%
0-2 @ 8.58%
1-3 @ 5.76%
0-3 @ 5.07%
2-3 @ 3.27%
1-4 @ 2.55%
0-4 @ 2.25%
2-4 @ 1.45%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 52.33%